The Crypto Desk

Feds Powell Shakes Bitcoin Momentum: Is the $100,000 Support Level at Risk?

Feds Powell Shakes Bitcoin Momentum: Is the $100,000 Support Level at Risk?

Bitcoin Price Takes a Hit After Fed Announcement

In a surprising turn of events, Bitcoin (BTC) has faced a significant downturn, momentarily dipping below the psychologically crucial $100,000 threshold. This drop follows the Federal Reserve’s recent announcement of a 25-basis-point rate cut, coupled with signals that further reductions in 2025 may not be as extensive as investors had hoped. On Thursday, Bitcoin plummeted nearly 3%, reaching an intraday low of $98,792, before finding some stability around the $101,740 mark. The remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which were perceived as hawkish, have contributed to a shaky market sentiment among investors.

Bitcoin price chart showing fluctuations

Key Highlights from the Fed’s Announcement

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) delivered what is being described as a “Hawkish Cut” in their latest statement. Here’s a brief overview of the main points:

  • The Fed cut the interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it down to 4.50%.
  • Future cuts in 2025 are projected to be fewer than initially expected.
  • The Fed’s dot-plot now indicates an additional 50 basis points of cuts in 2025, targeting an eventual rate of 3.9%.

Powell’s Stance on Bitcoin: No Central Bank Reserve

During the announcement, Powell addressed speculations regarding the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, stating, “We’re not allowed to own Bitcoin.” His comments suggest that any decision to create such a reserve would necessitate congressional approval, underscoring the Federal Reserve’s neutral approach to cryptocurrency. This clarification has tempered investor enthusiasm for the proposed reserve, which President-elect Donald Trump suggested could consist of 200,000 seized Bitcoin, valued at approximately $21 billion.

Market Analysts Weigh In: Volatility Ahead

Financial analysts are connecting Bitcoin’s recent price swings to a combination of factors including profit-taking, hawkish signals from the Fed, and uncertainty regarding U.S. fiscal and cryptocurrency policies under the upcoming administration. Despite these hurdles, Bitcoin has impressively more than doubled in value throughout the year, largely due to optimistic projections regarding pro-crypto policies and rising institutional adoption.

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

Currently, Bitcoin continues to face downward pressure, staying below the 50-day EMA resistance level of $104,252. Immediate resistance levels are recorded at $103,410, with further resistance at $105,723 and $108,280. On the other hand, immediate support is located at $101,147, with critical support levels at $98,656 and $96,482. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) now sits at 44, indicating a bearish trend but leaving room for potential stabilization in the near future.

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin tested support near $101,147 amidst hawkish commentary from the Fed.
  • Powell rejected the idea of a central bank-led Bitcoin reserve.
  • The presence of resistance at $103,410 suggests limited upside potential, with the RSI reflecting ongoing caution.

Why It Matters

The recent developments in the cryptocurrency market, and particularly Bitcoin’s fluctuating price, hold significant implications for investors and financial analysts alike. The mixed signals from the Federal Reserve could be indicative of broader economic trends impacting high-risk assets, such as cryptocurrencies. Understanding these movements is crucial for anyone involved in crypto trading or investment.

Future Outlook

As we look ahead, investors will be closely monitoring the incoming administration’s policies related to cryptocurrencies, alongside any changes from the Federal Reserve. The interplay between regulatory news, market sentiment, and macroeconomic factors will likely dictate Bitcoin’s trajectory in the near term. With Bitcoin still holding a substantial year-to-date gain, many are watching to see if it can regain its footing amid rising uncertainties.

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